Writing & Publishing

Retos económicos de la transición energética

Álvarez, A., Guerra, J., & Hofstetter, M. (Eds.).

Bogotá: Ediciones Uniandes. Forthcoming 2026.

Chapters as coauthor: "Efectos nacionales de la transición energética" and "Efectos regionales de la transición energética".

Staying in Power: How Does Political Continuity Shape Debt?

with Jaime Bonet and Jhorland Ayala.

World Development, 2026. [DOI] [Free Access]

Documentos de Trabajo sobre Economía Regional y Urbana — Banco de la República. [PDF]

Why was the wheel (not) used in the Andes? A hypothesis explaining the slow adoption of wagon transport and evidence from nineteenth-century Colombia

with Xavier Durán.

Journal of Economic History, 2026. [DOI] [Replication Package]

The Fiscal Cost of Waste: Procurement Spending Inefficiency in a General Equilibrium Framework

with Bum Kim, Matheo Arellano, Daniel Rueda-Lobato, Oscar Valencia, Carlos Ortiz, Ana Calderon, and Leandro Andrian.

International Economics, 2026. [DOI]

Autonomy, Control, and Performance in Subnational Public Organizations: Evidence from Colombia

with Camilo Ignacio González.

International Journal of Public Administration, 2026. [DOI]

Fiscal Credibility under Political Instability: Evidence from a New Dataset on Finance Minister Turnover

with Carolina Dueñas, Bum Kim, Sergio Sánchez-Martínez, Leandro Andrian, and Oscar Valencia.

Working paper. August 2026. [PDF] [Slides]

Impact of territorial division on long-term development

with Jaime Bonet and Jhorland Ayala.

Cuadernos de Historia Económica — Banco de la República. [PDF]

Media coverage: [El Universal]

Institutional Design in the Energy Sector and Its Role in Development-Oriented Regulation

with Camilo Ignacio González and Carolina Velandia Hernández.

Currently under R&R in Public Administration Review

Rules Met, Goals Missed: The Compliance–Sustainability Gap

with Carolina Ulloa-Suárez, Oscar M. Valencia, and Gustavo Sánchez.

Bureau d'Économie Théorique et Appliquée (BETA) — Documents de travail, 2025-23. [PDF]

Flexible Boundaries: Evaluating the Effect of Escape Clause Activation

with Carolina Ulloa and Oscar Valencia.

Bureau d'Économie Théorique et Appliquée (BETA) — Documents de travail, 2025-05. [PDF]

Inflation's Twist: The Non-linear Impact on Public Debt

with Oscar Valencia, Gustavo Sanchez, and Juan Díaz.

Proceedings of the 8th Call for Papers, 2024 — Asobancaria. [PDF]

Hacia la Energía y Minería Sostenible en el Caribe Colombiano

Fundesarrollo & CESORE. August 2024. [PDF]

El Cesar Ganadero

CESORE — Centro de Estudios Socioeconómicos y Regionales, for the Comité Ganadero del Cesar (Fedegán). September 2024. [PDF]