About

March 2026
Jorge Alberto Guerra-Espana

My work focuses on political economy, especially how political cycles affect fiscal and development outcomes.

Since July 2026, I have been a predoctoral Research Fellow at the Social Economics Lab at Harvard University, directed by Stefanie Stantcheva, where I help design large-scale surveys and experiments — including chatbot-based interviews — on how people understand economic policy.

I plan to begin a PhD in Economics in 2027.

My main field is political economy: how political institutions and policymakers shape fiscal outcomes and economic development. I study questions such as: How does finance-minister turnover affect sovereign risk, and do contentious exits have different effects? How does continuity in political leadership shape borrowing and fiscal decisions? How do political decisions to redraw regional borders affect long-run development? My secondary fields are economic history, energy, and economic geography.

I am also interested in bringing rigorous research to broader audiences. I co-edited Retos económicos de la transición energética en Colombia (Ediciones Uniandes, 2026) with Andrés Álvarez and Marc Hofstetter, and I regularly contribute to public debates through columns and media engagement.

Background

I hold an M.A. and a B.A. in Economics from Universidad de los Andes in Bogotá, and a B.A. in Philosophy from Universidad Nacional de Colombia.

I began working as a research assistant at Universidad de los Andes, contributing to consultancy and academic projects across the Department of Economics, the School of Government, and the School of Management. I later worked as an intern at the Ministry of Finance, focusing on real-sector issues. These collaborations have continued over time through both academic and policy-oriented projects.

More recently, I have also collaborated with faculty from Georgetown University and King’s College London on international research projects, supporting research design, coordination, writing, and the production of academic outputs.

I have worked on applied research and consulting projects with institutions such as the Center for Sustainable Development Goals (CODS) and the Center for Sustainable Finance (CSF) at Universidad de los Andes, Connect Bogotá Region, Fundesarrollo, CESORE, and the World Resources Institute, on topics including energy transition, technology markets, and regional development, using a range of applied methodologies such as NLP, machine learning, text analysis, and econometrics.

I have worked as a consultant in the Fiscal Management Division at the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB), leading the econometrics and data analytics team within FISLAC, an analytical platform that supports governments in making strategic fiscal decisions. The team was originally launched as an initiative of Oscar Valencia and is currently led by Leandro Andrian. In this role, I designed analytical tools and produced analysis for economic policy institutions across the region, while also conducting applied research and collaborating with other specialists at the IDB.

Other affiliations and research collaborations

I usually collaborate with researchers at the Centro de Estudios Económicos Regionales (CEER) of Banco de la República (Colombia's central bank). Some of the workins papers have been published as Regional Economics Series and Economic History Notebooks.

See my CV for the full list of affiliations, awards, and conference presentations.